JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.
Higher education in global economy: review of scenarios
Ilnytskyy, Denys
Date:
2018
Abstract:
Higher education needs scenarios more than any other sector of national or global economy. Variety of methodological approaches could be used to outline possible futures. The choice of the best of them depends on specific context. Various institutions have tried to suggest a scenario or a group of scenarios. but most of them failed. Huge number of indicators and factors influence the future make it impossible to form long-term forecasts, while the best scenario would be the collage one.
Description:
1. Azman N., Morshidi S., Azahari M.K. Building future scenarios for Malaysian universities, Journal of Asian Public Policy. 2010. 3:1. pp 86-99. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17516231003634112
2. Barnett, R. Two rival forms of scenario. In Enders, J., File, J. Huisman, J. and Westerheijden, D. (eds.) The European Higher Education and Research Landscape 2020, Scenarios and Strategic Debates. 2005. CHEPS, p.133-139
3. Beddington J. 2030: The perfect storm scenario. The Population Institute, Washington, DC, USA. 2010. 12 p. URL: https://www.populationinstitute.org/external/files/reports/The_Perfect_Storm_Scenario_for_2030.pdf
4. Bjornstad, R., Gjelsvik, M. L., Goday, A., Holm, I., & Stolen, N. M. Demand and supply of labor by education towards 2030. Linking demographic and macroeconomic models for Norway (Report 39). 2010. Oslo-Kongsvinger: Statistics Norway. 44 p. URL: https://www.ssb.no/a/english/publikasjoner/pdf/rapp_201039_en/rapp_201039_en.pdf
5. Blass, E., Jasman, A., Shelley, S. Visioning 2035: The future of the higher education sector in the UK. Futures, №42(5), 2010. p.445-453.
6. Bryan A. Future of Higher Education: The Future of Scholarly Publication. EDUCAUSE review. March 29, 2011. URL: https://er.educause.edu/articles/2011/3/future-of-higher-education-the-future-of-scholarly-publication
7. Building on skills forecasts — Comparing methods and applications. Conference proceedings. Cedefop February 2011. 284 p. URL: http://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/publications-and-resources/publications/5518
8. Calvin K. The SSP4: A world of deepening inequality. Global Environmental Change. №42. 2017. p.284-296.
9. del Campo, J. M., Negro, V., & Núñez, M. The history of technology in education. A comparative study and forecas Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences: International Conference on Education and Educational Psychology. 2012. №69, 1086-1092.
10. Douglass J. A Look into a Possible Future: A Global Scenario for Higher Education Systems. Global University Network for Innovation. December 17, 2007. URL: URL: http://www.guninetwork.org/articles/look-possible-future-globalscenario-higher-education-systems
11. Enders, J., File, J. M., Huisman, J., & Westerheijden, D. F. The European Higher Education and Research Landscape 2020-Scenarios and Strategic Debates. 2005. Center for Higher Education Policy Studies. URL: https://ris.utwente.nl/ws/portalfiles/portal/5574394/Enders05european.pdf
12. Fricko O. etc.The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change. №42. 2017. p.251-267.
13. Fujimori S. etc. SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change. №42. 2017. p.268-283.
14. Future knowledge: 4 scenarios for the future of Dutch universities. / ed. P.Faasse, B. van der Meulen, P. Heerekop. Rathenau Institute. February 2014. URL: https://www.rathenau.nl/sites/default/files/2018-05/Future_knowledge__4_scenarios_for_the_future_of_Dutch_universities_01.pdf
15. Gallagher, M. The emergence of entrepreneurial public universities in Australia. Higher Education Division, Department of Education, Training and Youth Affairs. 2000. 63 p.https://multisite.itb.ac.id/mwa/wpcontent/uploads/sites/40/2014/06/the-emergence-of-entrepreneurial-public-universities-in-australia.pdf
16. Gidley, J. M. Global Knowledge Futures: Articulating the Emergence of a New Meta-level Field. Integral Review: A Transdisciplinary & Transcultural Journal for New Thought, Research, & Praxis. 2013. №9(2). P.145-172. URL: URL: http://www.integral-review.org/documents/old/Gidley,Global-Knowledge-Futures,Vol.9,No.2.pdf
17. Higher Education in Developing Countries: Peril and Promise. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank. 2000. 135p. URL: http://siteresources.worldbank.org/education/Resources/2782001099079877269/547664-1099079956815/peril_promise_en.pdf
18. Irfan, T. Mohammod. 2017. "IFs Education Model Documentation." Working paper 2015.06.16. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, Denver, CO. URL: https://pardee.du.edu/sites/default/files/Education%20Model%20v34.pdf
19. Jongbloed, B., Enders, J. and Salerno, C. Higher education and its communities: interconnections, interdependencies and a research agenda. Higher Education. 2008. 56(3): 303-324.
20. Kriegler E. etc. Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change. №42. 2017. p.297-315
21. Kubler J., Sayers, N. Higher education futures: Key themes and implications for leadership and management. London: Leadership Foundation for Higher Education & Association of Commonwealth Universities. 2010. 72 p.
22. Márquez-Ramos, L., Mourelle, E. Selecting a suitable approach to analyze the future of higher education. ProcediaSocial and Behavioral Sciences. 2016. №228, p.86-91.
23. Modelling Future Demand and Supply of Skills in South Africa: 10 Year Skills Demand and Supply Forecast. - Technical Report. - ed. Adelzadeh A., Department of Higher Education and Training RSA. March 2017. http://www.dhet.gov.za/Commissions Reports/Modelling future of demand and supply of skills in south Africa/Modelling future demand and supply of skills in South Africa.pdf
24. Ogilvy J. Three Scenarios for Higher Education: The California Case. Thought and Action, v9 n1. Fall 1993. P.25-67
25. Orîndaru A. Changing perspectives on students in higher education. Procedia Economics and Finance: 22nd International Economic Conference “Economic Prospects in the Context of Growing Global and Regional Interdependencies”. 2015. №27. p.682-691.
26. Papanikolaou K. Web-enhanced learning scenarios. Procedia Social and Behavioral Sciences: WCES-2010. №15. 2011. p.1158–1162.
27. Rasmus D. Why Higher Education Needs Scenarios. University Business. November 2, 2012. URL: https://www.universitybusiness.com/article/why-higher-education-needs-scenarios
28. Rieley, J. B. Scenario Planning in Higher Education. Community College Journal, 1997. 68(1), p.23-26.
29. Scenarios of the Future of Higher Education. Kwantland Polytechnic University. URL: http://www.kpu.ca/president/strategicplanning/kpu-scenarios-of-the-future-of-higher-education
30. Seitz T., Löffler-Stastka H. Diagnostically fit for the future? The students’ perspective. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences. 2016. №228, p.541-546.
31. The European Higher Education and Research Landscape 2020, Scenarios and Strategic Debates. Enders, J., File, J. Huisman, J. and Westerheijden, D. (eds.). - CHEPS. 219 p. ISBN 90-365-2296-X 219 p. URL: https://ris.utwente.nl/ws/portalfiles/portal/5574394/Enders05european.pdf
32. Turner S., Neill C., Hughes B.B., Narayan K. Guide to Scenario Analysis in International Futures (IFs). Working paper 2017.09.10. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, Denver, CO. 2017. URL: https://pardee.du.edu/sites/default/files/IFs%20Documentation Guide%20to%20Scenario%20Analysis%20v15.1.pdf
33. Vincent-Lancrin S. Building Futures Scenarios for Universities and Higher Education: An International Approach. Policy Futures in Education. Volume: 2 issue: 2. June 1, 2004. p. 245-263 URL: https://doi.org/10.2304/pfie.2004.2.2.3
34. VISION 2018 - Annual Performance Report: 2016 Interim. Kwantlen Polytechnic University February 2016 Update. – 12 p. URL: http://www.kpu.ca/sites/default/files/President/VISION 2018%20Annual%20Performance%20Report%20Feb%2018%20Interim.pdf
35. Vuuren van D.P. etc. Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm. Global Environmental Change. №42. 2017. p.237-250.
Files in this item
This item appears in the following Collection(s)
-
Article
An article in a journal, magazine, newspaper. Not necessarily peer-reviewed. May be an electronic-only medium, such as an online journal or news website.
Search DSpace
Browse
-
All of DSpace
-
This Collection