Issues of determining the foresight methodology

dc.contributor.authorQoqiauri, Lamara
dc.contributor.authorKapanadze, Maia
dc.contributor.authorQoqiauri, Nino
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-11T13:41:45Z
dc.date.available2019-11-11T13:41:45Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.description1. Derek Barker, David J.H. Smith., 1995. Technology foresight using roadmaps //Long Range Planning, 28, (2), pp. 21 – 28. 2. Fischhoff, Baruch., 1975. Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertaint//Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, vol 1(3), 288 – 299. 3. Gokhberg. L. M. 2007. Is it available to use technological foresight in the county. http://stra.teg.ru/global/Prognoz/foresight/11 4. Kastro E. A., Marques J. L., Borges M., 2012. Foresight Methodologies. Application to the Housing Market //Proceedings of the 52nd Congress of the European Regional Science Assotiation. 5. Kleiton E., 2008. Teknologicheskie Dorozhnye karty:instrumenti Dlya Razvitiya./Kleiton E. //Forsait. Gosudarstvennyi Universitet – Vysshava Shkola Ekonomiki.# 3, S. 69 – 74. 6. Kovalev V. I., 2013. Forsait: Prognozirovanie Innovatsii Ili Innovarsii v prognozakh? // Vestnik Omskogo Gosudarstvennovo Universiteta. # 2 (68). S. 169 – 172. 7. Kopilov.G. 2002. New Ideas for Developing- Educational projects. 8. Kaliujhnova. N.Voilin.S. I. 2006. 20 Questions and 20 Answers.Irkutski.Pg.12 9. Linstone H. A., 2011. Three Eras of Technology Foresight//Technovation. T.31.#.2.S.69 – 76. 10. Miles I., Popper R. (Eds). 2008. The handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Pp154. 11. Popper R., 2006. Foresight has not en Offside Internet Source ‘Pg.65-78 12. Richardson J., 2014. ICSU Foresight Analysis, International Science in 2013 – Exploratory Scenarios//foresight. T. 16. #. 2. S. 192 – 195. 13. Roue M., Nakashima D., 2002. Knowledge and Foresight: the Predictive Capacity of Traditional Knowledge Applied to Environmental Assessment/Roue M., Nakashima D., - UNESCO, - S. 337 – 347. – Rezhim dostupa k stat’e: http://www.botanischergarten.ch./Patents/Roue-Foresight- Int–Soc–Sci–1468–2451. 00386.pdf 14. Saritas O., Oner M. A., 2004. Systemic analysis of UK foresight results: Joint Application of Integrated Management Model and Roadmapping//Technological Forecasting and Sicial Change. 71 (1 – 2), pp. 27 – 65. 15. Strategia A., 2013. Papadopoulou C.A., 2013. Foresight Analysis at the Regional Level – A Participatory Methodological Framework//Journal of Management and Strategy. T. 4. #. 2. S. 1.en_US
dc.description.abstractThe article discusses key issues of the origin, development and essence of modern foresight. There is explained three main program of foresight. In scientific – technical programming is the foresight a new event or not, how is it possible to positioning the foresight in strategic planning, is its methodology used at regional level or not, in the paper there are also given the stages of formation of foresight, the parallelization is given between forecast and foresight and it is justified that the participants of foresight create real possibilities not only for forecast, also they discuss the future possible alternatives and develop strategies to implement more promising projects. Methodological issues of foresight are also studied, in particular, normative and exploratory approaches, a wide range of methods used for foresight: Creativity, Expertise and Forecast, Analysis, Interaction – Delphi – Methods of Survey establishment on quality information.en_US
dc.identifier.citationIII International Scientific Conference: "Challenges of Globalization in Economics and Business", Tbilisi, 2018, pp. 426-431en_US
dc.identifier.isbn978-9941-13-764-8
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.tsu.ge/handle/123456789/398
dc.language.isogeen_US
dc.publisherIvane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University Pressen_US
dc.subjectForesight; Forecast; Delphi Method; Expert; Strategic Management; Normative Forecast; Explanatory Approach; Creativeen_US
dc.titleIssues of determining the foresight methodologyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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